Monday, May 31, 2021
When will I be 'done' with this?
Friday, May 28, 2021
Mask wearing and Nazi imagery = a dangerous mix
"The May 16 news article “Months later, bitter anger over the Capitol riot lingers in the House” said that Reps. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.) and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) “have nothing but ill will between them.” This false equivalency on the part of The Post has got to stop. It’s unacceptable."Greene is the one who is harassing and attacking Ocasio-Cortez. Greene is the source of the ill will."
Thursday, May 27, 2021
No crying, but there might be some laughing in baseball
There is a lot serious news to read about and explore. If you believe social media, most EVERYTHING is serious and we are awash in "what if x happens" stories, written in breathless prose but with only slender wisps of actual data to support the fears explored.
I have begun simply skipping all stories I encounter that are based on polls asking people about future elections as a way to counter some of the clutter. You may have your own list of stories in the printed and broadcast news that cause you to skip ahead.
That seems like a smart way to maintain our mental health.
The stories that grab me are like the report in the Washington Post today about last night's Nationals vs. Reds game. Several oddities were featured.
First, the game was suspended due to looming rain storms after just 3 and one-half innings. The game will be resumed today from where it left off, and will be followed by a second game of 7 innings. Welcome to Covid baseball, though the virus has nothing to do with this game.
It took over three hours for the officials to suspend the game, and fans remaining were treated to a streaker splashing across the tarp, running from cops, hiding in the tarp roller for a few minutes, and eventually being cuffed and taken away. It's nice to know that some traditions -- streaking become popular on college campuses in the 1970s -- still retain the power to amuse.
A more modern issue arose in the third inning, when the closed captioning board above each bullpen read: “Right Fielder North Korea Castellanos.” It was supposed to say, “Right Fielder Nicholas Castellanos.”
North Korean hackers at work? Autocorrect messing with us? Who knows?
My point is that I need more news like this, full of the weird, the unexplained, and the amusing. I am grateful for journalists who are reporting in-person and who can share what they see and hear and taste and smell... and wonder about.
It doesn't make me smarter or better-equipped to handle the challenges of life.
But neither did the new Peacock comedy "Girls5Eva." You should check it out. No news. Just some fun.
Wednesday, May 26, 2021
Trust is a fragile thing
Here I go mentioning the plague once again, so soon after I promised I was done... but my thoughts are more general than Covid-related.
Here is a key graf from today's "The Morning," a weekday e-newsletter from The New York Times. The lead article was trying to explain how the CDC came up with its advice for children at summer camps to wear masks all summer long.
"There does not seem to be much scientific reason that campers and counselors, or most other people, should wear a mask outdoors all summer. Telling them to do so is an example of extreme cation -- like staying out of the ocean to avoid sharks -- that seems to have a greater cost than benefit."
It turns out that the CDC relied on meta data to make this decision, and that led to ONE small study from Singapore leading them to say that there is less than a 10 percent chance of virus transmission outdoors, when the reality is something more like 0.1 percent.
My first thought for writers is that this a great reminder that "outliers" may be dramatic and get attention, but they should often be discounted when trying to make a sound decision or argument.
My second thought is that the CDC is doing no favors for anyone with its excessive caution. No one wants a kid to die or even become quite ill, so MAYBE we can see where someone in authority can defend requiring masks for summer camp participants.
But any thoughtful cost-benefit analysis would probably produce another set of recommendations.
Look, I WANT to trust the CDC and government more generally. By and large, I do trust local, state and federal leaders, particularly the unelected folks who simply want what is best for Americans. But I can certainly feel some sympathy for people who cannot find that level of trust.
This whole chaotic mess reminds me of how easy it is to LOSE reputation, or have it damaged. Regaining a reputation, on the other hand, will take loads of time and effort, and may not even be possible.
For some Americans, the CDC's reputation is in tatters. I honestly don't know how it gets it back.
Tuesday, May 25, 2021
With great power comes... great stupidity
Monday, May 24, 2021
The power of pretending
The ConsequenceAttitude follows action far more than action follows attitude.We change our mood as a result of how we act. if you want to feel a certain way, begin by acting s if you do. On the other hand, if you truly want to accomplish something, waiting for the mood to strike is ineffective.
Friday, May 21, 2021
A last post on the plague... until further notice
I probably need to stop writing about the pandemic and our national dysfunction about everything from masks to vaccines, but I just wanted to try to capture some of my own confusion and angst, while also making a basic point about logic in arguments.
The CDC announced that anyone fully vaccinated is, in effect, immune (at least to the worst effects of the virus) and also unlikely to spread the virus (though there seems to be no clear evidence about that). That put a number of rational states in a bind and most states and businesses have simply dropped the mask requirement completely.
I see the Rockies announced last night that masks are no longer required at Coors Field, though there is reduced seating until June 1, when it goes up to 35,000. The best part of the announcement was that the Rockies still recommend that those not fully vaccinated continue to wear a mask... but there will be no enforcement or checking. After all, what is there to enforce?
The pandemic is over.
But is there one person who can honestly say that their neighbors can be trusted to wear that mask without vaccination? If I have learned anything over the past five years, starting with the Trump cult and extending through the pandemic, it's that a significant percentage of Americans are willing to reject logic, expert advice, and even the evidence of their own eyes (see the incredible feats of denial by many Republican legislators regarding Jan. 6).
On the other hand, something that never really changes throughout history is that people ultimately are selfish and take care of themselves (and their loved one, mostly).
I see that about 60 percent of Americans over 18 have had at least one shot, and the total is going up about 2 percent per week. If that holds, we could reach 70 percent fully vaccinated by July 4, as President Biden hopes.
That means that a number of people who gleefully engage in all manner of conspiracy theories and political posturing eventually do what is best for THEM: they get the vaccine. I'm not sure why this is not stated more frequently, but the former president got vaccinated just before leaving the White House.
Fear is the great motivator, and this is universal. The race to get to an overwhelming majority of vaccinated Americans (not to mention the rest of the planet) comes down to which fear seems most immediate: tiny robots from Bill Gates injected into our arms or the threat of so many unhealthy people dying of Covid.
Those brave Americans who raise their middle finger to the government, except when their social security or PPP payments roll in, may tick me off. But, at some point, my way forward is to make sure those I love are vaccinated and ignore the naysayers.
They should not expect sympathy when they find themselves seriously ill, but they will still be cared for. Even bad neighbors are still neighbors.
Thursday, May 20, 2021
The noises in my head
A newish book that is drawing some attention is Noise: A flaw in human judgment, and it's been reviewed in several publications. I heard an interview on NPR with one of the authors, and just those quick teasers are enough to get me to buy a copy for summer reading.
The book's foundation is data gathered over several years involving many different situations where people must make judgments of some sort. A study of 1.5 million court cases, for instance, found that judges issued measurably harsher sentences the day after their local football team lost. In another case, oncologists at one center correctly diagnosed 65 percent of cancers, meaning they misdiagnosed one third of the time. And a study found that one company's insurance adjusters varied up to 55 percent in the premiums they came up with.
Those variations are startling for all of us imagining that justice is blind or that doctors and insurance professionals are, well, professional and basically in agreement on cause and effect.
Those variations are "noise" and noise means we often wonder how life can be so unfair.
There is a lot of noise in education, particularly in assessment and grades, don't you think? One sophomore English class in one large high school should be similar in content and assessment to the sophomore English class being taught down the hall by another teacher. Hah! We don't need a study to doubt that.
I am not immune to some noise in my own grading practices, though it's tough to come up with a number. At some point, after reading a dozen not-so-great essays, for instance, I likely get overly excited by an essay that features an intriguing writing "voice," or simply demonstrates a strong thesis. Multiple grammar errors or some weird logic may be overlooked when it comes time to assign points.
Could I prove scientifically that Paper A deserves precisely 10 more points than Paper B? Not a chance.
Is it possible that the time of day I read an essay affects my reaction? Almost certainly.
There is no easy fix for noise in many situations, including grading college essays, but studying that noise and how it might be reduced seems like an important step in making life just a bit more fair.
Wednesday, May 19, 2021
I demand a recount!
Something that I repeat to writing students is "no claims without support." I consistently encounter writers who seem quite comfortable writing things like, "Ted Lasso was the best new series of 2020," followed by... nothing.
The claim may be true -- and I agree that "Ted Lasso" was the best TV series of the past year -- but without any evidence this is not a persuasive argument. Analysis and description and comparisons would need to be added to make that initial claim persuasive. It can be as simple as adding "for example" after the initial claim.
There is a related truth about writing (and thinking), which is, "Unserious claims make the writer look unserious."
That is my shorthand version of something called "Russell's Teapot." Bertrand Russell was a British philosopher who came up with this analogy while making an argument about religion. Some find flaws in his arguments about the existence of God. But the basic point of his analogy is taught in introduction to philosophy classes.
In a nutshell: Imagine claiming that there's a tiny teapot -- too small to be seen by telescopes -- orbiting the sun. It would be very difficult or impossible to prove you wrong. But the default assumption should NOT be that the teapot exists. It's not up to other people to prove you wrong; it's up to YOU to offer credible evidence before the claim is taken seriously.
We see what happens when a claim that contains no proof becomes the basis for an entire political party in our ongoing national "debate" over whether President Biden really won the election. The wacky Arizona recount of Maricopa County's votes is the most recent specific example.
Many Republican officials are arguing that since many Republican voters don't have much faith in the presidential election results, OF COURSE we need tighter voting laws and more recounts. The "unserious" part of this is that those very people were fed a steady series of lies by the former president and his various supportive cult media networks. All evidence points to the results being accurate.
It amounts to circular logic, which is a fallacy but one that is difficult to correct when so many Americans accept an initial unsupported claim. It's tough to argue against something that is made up.
A nutty conspiracy theory is about the Covid vaccine containing tiny microchips -- perhaps too small for detection -- allowing Bill Gates to... something? Therefore, you'd be crazy to get a vaccine. If you are a person willing to accept that initial lie, then what follows is compelling.
Emotion being so powerful make me wonder if there is any way out of this downward spiraling logical nightmare.
Tuesday, May 18, 2021
And we're off... sort of
Monday, May 17, 2021
To my imagined readers
I began this weekday blogging experiment back in January as a way to share ideas about writing with any of my college students who might find time to check in. There was no way to know who actually read anything and that means my daily blogging was really for me.
Just as the CDC stating that fully vaccinated people could dispense with masks and social distancing (with some exceptions) gave permission for the many unvaccinated people to also dispense with masks -- after all, there are no good ways to check and no penalties for refusing or just not participating -- it is also the case that once a teacher makes something optional, with no grading repercussions, the tendency is for students to NOT keep something like reading a blog on the to-do list.
BTW: the above is quite a lengthy sentence, complete with two parentheticals and an introductory dependent clause as well as a meandering independent clause. I don't think there are any clear errors in that extraordinarily long sentence, but most readers will find that sort of compound-complex sentence a challenge.
Some will simply stop at some point. Some may not even start it. But it accurately reflects the way my thinking works -- I am a fan of the parenthetical, and I wanted to connect a recent event with a more general observation about teaching and grading.
If my prime audience is me, then there is no issue with that overloaded sentence. For other audiences? Time to edit and rethink.
The point of this post is that I decided early on that I would press on with the blog. Even though the spring semester has ended, the blog will carry on.
I find it amazing that this is post #80. I'm not sure how many total words I have compiled, but I would estimate that I have averaged about 300 words per post, and that amounts to 24,000 total words.
Most modern novels weigh in between 60,000 and 100,000 words, by way of comparison.
A favorite writing teacher named Donald Murray, who died in 2006, always said, "Nulla dies sine linea," which is a quote in Latin from Horace. It means, "Never a day without a line."
We become better writers the way we become better at most things: regular practice.
There is a good chance that this blog will approach nearly 100,000 words in 2021. How about that?
Friday, May 14, 2021
Wrapping up the semester / Part 3
First, I guess those Republicans in Douglas County who defiantly proclaimed that the pandemic was over had information most people didn't have. Or maybe they were lucky. Or maybe even a broken clock is accurate twice a day.
When the CDC announced yesterday that anyone fully vaccinated can dispense with masks in most social situations, that was the end of masking as either a way to protect oneself or others or simply to show solidarity with children and the immuno-compromised.
Second, this surprising turn of events comes at the very end of another trying semester for most students, the third in a row. No matter how students performed, or teachers performed, we now have a reason to look forward rather than back.
It's tough to pay attention and focus on education when you don't feel well or if you are consumed with worry about your family and vulnerable relatives and friends, or if you feel isolated and beaten down by the world. But many of my students found a way to rise to the challenge, did what they could, met deadlines, and generally demonstrate their thinking and writing progress.
That ain't nothin'.
I am still frustrated, though increasingly philosophical, about problems students have showing me that they see the fundamental point of "no claims without support." I have simplified my teaching approach over time and find that some progress can be made simply by going back time and again to some basic truths about writing. The need for evidence lies at the very heart of persuasive writing.
I am still frustrated that students mostly can't find an extra couple minutes to read over posts and essays prior than submitting them. I remain mystified that some students can't bring themselves to even click on words that the software has underlined as being misspelled or misused.
I see so many incomplete sentences that are clearly not intended to be incomplete as a syntactical choice. And comma splices are so common that it can't be long until the "grammar powers that be" will be throwing in the towel (as they did with "hopefully" a couple years ago). After all, language is an artificial construct and the rules can change rather quickly.
I am disappointed to find that many students can identify and correct grammar and spelling and usage errors in a multiple choice test but can't translate that knowledge to their own essays.
I have a hazy theory that many students hate writing so much that they want nothing more than to STOP writing. What is the minimum word count, they ask. Who in their right mind would spend extra minutes re-reading a discussion post prior to hitting "send"? Thank the lord that's over.
And so ends another semester of seeing the very same errors and loose logic and missed opportunities ("you were onto something, and then you seemed to lose interest"), along with the occasional insightful, passionate and compelling arguments and narratives.
Too few of the latter, but writing teachers don't need much in terms of positive news to find hope and begin creating new approaches and searching for new writing models and fine-tuning curriculum.
After all, a new school year brings a new group of students. They aren't blank slates but August will provide a new start.
And who doesn't appreciate a new start?
Thursday, May 13, 2021
We don't have to be helpless
People are only occasionally logical and often make decisions that defy reason. Draining gasoline at stations up and down the east coast due to the recent hacking of a pipeline's systems is the most recent example.
The video of older couples filling up numerous one- or two-gallon plastic gas "cans" might strike us as a liquid version of the toilet paper "run" from this time last year.
Logically, the hoarding of extra gas based on potential shortages actually accelerates and worsens the shortage, but most of us focus on our little corner of the world and our personal fears and needs.
Bottom line: the panicked gasoline purchasing is entirely illogical but entirely predictable. I see that President Biden will be holding a press conference to reassure the public, though I am skeptical that the public will be moved to change behaviors.
The good news about this most recent hacking incident is that our nation's appalling lack of any sort of national cyber-defense may lead to focusing the work of a lot of smart people on fortifying internet security to the level at which we fortify border or military security.
Relying on individual companies to take care of this is a silly as relying on a collection of state militias to provide for the national defense. Perhaps THIS need for federal programs to provide for our electronic security can give our politicians the needed excuse to work on some solutions... together.
Wednesday, May 12, 2021
Numbers can be correct but deceptive
Tuesday, May 11, 2021
Wrapping up a semester / Part 2
There can be no doubt that it's been a weird, stressful past year and past semester, though the accumulated stress and weirdness is hard to measure.
But I have an online class with 15 students, and I just emailed 6 of them with a friendly nudge to submit an assignment worth 75 points that involves minimal technology (a video of an under-five minute presentation) and a quick PowerPoint. I gave them until Friday to do this, despite the fact that the assignment was due last Sunday and despite the fact that the final exam was yesterday (and all but one of them completed that).
Maybe 40 percent of a class having some sort of trouble with a deadline or with technology or whatever the problem is should not be considered unusual, but I've been teaching the class for a decade and I've never seen anything like it.
You don't have to be a math major to grasp that taking a zero on a 75-point assignment in a course that offers a total of 825 points can drop your grade by as much as a full letter. I also know grades aren't everything and some students may be fine with a C rather than a B. As much of America likes to chant, "Freedom!"
But I also know that many college students consider any mark under an A to be a failure. Such a failure, BTW, may be blamed on the instructor -- and I'm sure good argument can be made to that end. But not submitting assignments? There's no subjectivity in grading in that case.
There will come a time when researchers have enough time, perspective, and data to provide us with a clearer picture of how the plague affected students at all grade levels. That time is years away.
But my anecdotal evidence is clear right now: college students are struggling more than ever.
Monday, May 10, 2021
Wrapping up a semester / Part 1
Friday, May 7, 2021
Why would social media ever lead me astray?
I know. I know. You're tired of hearing about all the vaccine problems (and successes). Let's just get on with it.
But the raw data in Colorado that I saw today indicates that counties with higher rates of vaccination are experiencing LOWER rates of Covid infection. And not at all surprising, counties with lower rates of vaccination are seeing higher infection rates.
There will always be some people who refuse to be vaccinated, I suppose, though it is interesting that there seems to be a hierarchy of refusal. Most children get the measles vaccine, for instance, and the CDC website claims that about 90 percent of American children have received that vaccine before they are two years old.
But today's New York Times found that a large percentage of parents say they won't be rushing to get their children vaccinated against Covid when the CDC makes that possible. The reason may be as simple as the measles vaccine has a long history of not causing dangerous side effects and has been proven to protect people from what used to be a dangerous disease.
A lot of parenting is done by "feel" and faith, and a lot of decisions parents make are based on what THEY remember their own parents doing. A family doctor can certainly be influential. But no one wants to put their child at risk, even though logic says that even worse things might happen if children's immune systems are left to themselves.
Mesa County in Colorado, a firmly red area of the state, has found at least four cases of the nasty Indian Covid variant this past week.
Want to guess about the area's vaccination rate?
Thursday, May 6, 2021
You're not the boss of me!
Wednesday, May 5, 2021
Someone to watch over me
Tuesday, May 4, 2021
Curse of the curse words
Washington Post reporter Robert Barnes started off his story previewing the Brandi Levy Supreme Court case with this lead:
The high school cheerleader relegated to the JV squad for another year responded with a fleeting fit of frustration: a photo of her upraised middle finger and another word that begins with F.“F—- school, f—- softball, f—- cheer, f—- everything,” 14-year-old Brandi Levy typed into Snapchat one spring Saturday. Like all “snaps” posted to a Snapchat “story,” this one sent to about 250 “friends” was to disappear within 24 hours, before everyone returned to Pennsylvania’s Mahoney Area High School on Monday.
Public writing, and formal persuasive writing in particular, tends to avoid using vulgarities (George Carlin's famous Seven Words) but there are times when those very words become part of the discussion. The above is the lead to a news story, not an argument per se, but the writer managed to make the situation clear while adding a bit of lightness to what might turn out to be an extremely important case for student free expression rights.
What might catch your eye (and ear, should you take a moment to read the first sentence aloud) is the alliteration of "fleeting fit of frustration," which sets readers up for a more earthy fourth F-word.
A serious debate can be had about whether not simply writing the full word is silly or insulting or simply unnecessary, but it's difficult to imagine any reader of the Post not being able to fill in the blanks.
So the choice to opt for something slightly less vulgar is a compromise. I certainly would not recommend obscuring the offending word to the point that readers are left to imagine what was so terrible. For instance, "Brandi Levy hurriedly typed a vulgar Snapchat message into her phone..."
From the august position of seasoned adult, this entire situation might seem both amusing and quintessentially high school behavior. But the school certainly didn't think it was inconsequential and, as I mentioned yesterday, the school imposed a one-year punishment on Brandi. You might blithely shrug off the idea of not being allowed to cheer for a school team for a year -- let's face it: most people seem to enjoy mocking cheerleaders -- and might even think the school had done her a favor.
But imagine the implications of living in a society where a government institution exerts power over not only on-campus student behavior and speech but over speech and behavior in the home or on the street.
But beyond the serious questions this case brings us, the introduction to the story is a model of being factual, with a side of fun with language, and setting the scene for readers who want to know how this all began.
Beyond smart diction and syntax points, this story should remind us of a constant struggle between those with power and those without much (and who could have less power than students?) to control expression.
We will learn what the court says this summer.